Summer break begins for everyone in the Elsner household. You know what that means? A trip to the Shoot. Not with the kids. That isn’t my style. But you do get picks a day early with some Friday night plays. I couldn’t ignore the NBA Finals and a clear Luka game coming.
In other news, Kevin wants me to come up with a catchy name for his weekly post. I try to just give the people what they want. They want gambling picks and so I call it what it is. But to please Kevin a bit, here are the weekend’s picks categorized by Taylor Swift songs.
Lastly, go visit a local business to make your bets like the Muckleshoot Casino. Like I did today to kick off summer break. Yep, these are my real plays.
Last Week’s Results
WNBA 0 for 2 (-2 units)
MLB 0 for 2 (-2 units)
NHL 0 for 1 (-1 unit)
NBA 1 for 2 (even)
Uh. Don’t look.
Year to Date Results
WNBA 2 for 6 (-2 units)
MLB 1 for 6 (-5.05 units)
NBA 2 for 4 (-2 units)
NHL 2 for 3 (+2 units)
Down 7.05 units. Time for soccer bets.
WNBA
“Down Bad”
Cameron Brink over 5.5 rebounds/Ariel Atkins over 13.5 points (6/14)
Nothing reeks of down bad like a parlay in the WNBA on a Friday night. Some people call it chasing. My motto is “if you ain’t chasing, you ain’t racing”. I don’t know what that means.
1 unit (parlay)
MLB
“Lover”
Matt Waldron over 3.5 K’s vs. Mets (6/14)
I have bet on Matt Waldron’s strikeout prop twice this year and lost both times. But both times it was at 4.5. He struck out four batters in both of those occasions. Like a lover, I come back for more. Too sensual? Sorry.
1 unit
“loml”
No Run First Inning (NRFI) - Tigers vs. Astros & Guardians vs. Blue Jays (6/14)
Let’s have fun here. Parlay these three teams with Greyson Rodriguez (vs. Tampa Bay), Shota Imanaga (vs. Reds on 7 game winning streak), and Max Fried (vs. Nationals). I like that even though parlays are sucker bets.
1 unit (parlay)
NBA
“Don’t Blame Me”
Luka Doncic over 32.5 points (6/14)
Everyone is blaming Luka for his putrid defense. Luka already said he is going to not worry about the refs and go play. This dude is going off today.
1 unit
“Delicate”
Jrue Holiday over 1.5 blocks + steals (6/14)
Jrue will get a steal in this game. I just have a feeling he is going to get a block as well. There isn’t a ton of data to back this one up. In the three finals games, Jrue has one steal in each but only a block in game two. So he has eclipsed this just once in three games.
1 unit
NCAA Baseball
“Florida!!!”
Florida Gators ML vs. Texas A&M (6/15)
Did I bet on this simply because the song title was perfect? Yes.
Also anytime I can bet on Jac Gaglianone, I will do it. This dude is hitting .411 with 33 homers and 68 RBI in 236 ABs. Oh and he pitches. 82 K’s in 72 2/3 innings. C’mon. FLORIDA!!!
1 unit
MLS
“no body, no crime”
Sounders vs. Minnesota - both three total match goals and two total match goals (6/15)
Is this hedging? Kinda. Is this lame? Maybe. Is it brilliant? Duh. No body, no crime people.
The Sounders play matches in which there are two or three goals scored all the time. You get plus money for each so if you bet 1 unit on both and either hit, you win.
2 units (1 each)
Euros
“this is me trying”
Both Teams to Score - Spain vs. Croatia (6/15)
Goals are fun. Also I bet on Spain and Portugal to win as future bets. Croatia is good for a goal, don’t you think?
1 unit
“Sweet Nothing”
Netherlands to win to nil vs. Poland (6/16)
Poland is without Lewandowski and the Netherlands are good. +135 odds. Uh, yes please.
1 unit
Down 7.05 units YTD. Oof. Wouldn't you like to be Right Where You Left (Yourself). I'd say keep it up except.... =)